BCMoore Rankings - NCAA Football

C = conference
  * = game played against a conference opponent
Stren = rating of individual game played by team, standard regression
O = overtime
Resid = measure of team performance versus expectation.
  Negative Resid = team played below expectations.
  Positive Resid = team played above expectations.
M = modifications:
  X = game is excluded from pre-regression data set.
  * = game is excluded when developing post-regression Mod score.
Predict = standard regression rankings for played games.
Predict = modified regression rankings for future games.
Team Stdev = measure of variability of the team based on Stren scores.


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Ball St

Class: 1A Class Rank: 114 Conference: Mid-American Conference Record: (3-5) Overall: (4-8) Overall Strength =  138.48

  N Date       Location  C  Stren Pts Opp O Cl Rnk ( W - L ) Opponent               Resid M Predict
  1 08/30/2018 Home    W   152.88  42   6   1B  81 (  6-  5) Central Conn St        11.89     24.11                      
  2 09/08/2018 Away    L   168.63  16  24   1A   7 ( 12-  0) Notre Dame             27.64 *  -35.64                      
  3 09/15/2018 Away    L   132.55  10  38   1A  56 (  5-  7) Indiana                -8.44    -19.56                      
  4 09/22/2018 Home    L   127.60  20  28   1A 116 (  3-  9) Western Kentucky      -13.39      5.39                      
  5 09/29/2018 Home    W * 162.81  52  24   1A 115 (  2- 10) Kent St                21.82      6.18                      
  6 10/06/2018 Home    L * 143.20  16  24   1A  77 (  8-  5) Northern Illinois       2.21    -10.21                      
  7 10/13/2018 Away    W * 141.92  24  23   1A 119 (  1- 11) Central Michigan        0.92      0.08                      
  8 10/20/2018 Home    L * 129.01  20  42   1A  79 (  7-  6) Eastern Michigan      -11.98    -10.02                      
  9 10/25/2018 Away    L * 124.25  14  52   1A  38 (  8-  4) Ohio U.               -16.74    -21.26                      
 10 10/31/2018 Away    L * 127.59  13  45   1A  64 (  7-  5) Toledo                -13.40    -18.60                      
 11 11/13/2018 Home    W * 146.64  42  41   1A  93 (  7-  5) Western Michigan        5.65     -4.65                      
 12 11/20/2018 Away    L * 134.81  21  42   1A  76 (  6-  6) Miami OH               -6.18    -14.82                      
      Averages             140.99  24.2 32.4

Best game:  168.63 = 8 point loss to Notre Dame
Worst game: 124.25 = 38 point loss to Ohio U.
Team stdev:  14.50